In this video: we talk about the #Bitcoin bull market support band! Video by Benjamin Cowen.
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The Bitcoin bull market support band is a key technical indicator defined by the area between the 20-week Simple Moving Average (SMA) and the 21-week Exponential Moving Average (EMA). It serves as a dynamic support level during bullish market cycles and a resistance level during bear markets.
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Key Insights
-Trend Identification: When the price of Bitcoin is consistently above this band, it is generally considered to be in a long-term bullish trend. Conversely, sustained price action below the band suggests a bearish market environment.
-Current Status: As of early 2026, Bitcoin is trading around €78,838.74. Recent analyses in late 2025 indicated the support band was around the $95.6K to $98.4K range, and some analysts have pinpointed a crucial support level at $97,190 (approximately €90,000).
-Historical Behavior: Historically, Bitcoin has spent a significant amount of time above the band during bull runs, often experiencing corrections that bounce off this support zone. A break and sustained period below the band are typically seen as a strong signal of a market regime shift.
-Future Outlook: While Bitcoin has recently shown resilience, the inability to consistently hold key levels above the support band could signal potential for further downward movement, possibly a retest of the support band in the coming weeks or months, a pattern often observed in the third quarter during post-halving years.
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