In this video: Bitcoin Pulls Back, But the Bigger Picture Hasn’t Changed. Video by CryptoCache.
BTC Bitcoin Analysis 0:00
ETH Ethereum Analysis 08:53
SOL Solana Analysis 10:58
XRP Ripple Analysis 12:56
SUI Analysis 15:06
HYPE Analysis 17:07
Bitcoin (BTC) is trading around $83,300 to $82,700 on Monday, October 12, 2026, finding temporary relief and edging upward after a sluggish start to October.
• Macro & Oil Prices: Bitcoin saw early support from a drop in oil prices driven by hopes of a Russia-Ukraine ceasefire, though overall risk sentiment remains fragile ahead of upcoming macroeconomic data.
• ETF Outflows & Pressure: Spot U.S. Bitcoin exchange-traded funds (ETFs) have experienced recent weekly outflows, putting short-term pressure on the asset despite underlying market resilience.
• Upcoming Catalysts: Traders are closely watching upcoming U.S. inflation (CPI) reports and Federal Reserve commentary to gauge the next leg for risk assets and crypto.
Probability over emotion, being the casino instead of the gambler, and why following the charts beat chasing fear and greed.
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Monday, 12 October 2026
Bitcoin Before Wednesday’s CPI Inflation Data: What 91 Reports Show
We analyse Bitcoin on 12 October 2026 with 91 inflation days of data from our MCO Terminal and using Elliott Wave, where the red resistance zone between $83,000 and $86,600 is the area in which Wednesday’s inflation data could trigger the next move. The last time US inflation data came out, on 11 September, Bitcoin jumped about 3% within two hours and gave nearly all of it back by the end of the day. The next report is due on Wednesday at 8:30 am New York time, with forecasts of 3.6% to 3.7%, up from 3.4% in August, after the Fed already raised rates in September. Video by More Crypto Online.
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We went through all 91 CPI releases since February 2019, hour by hour: in the two hours around the number, Bitcoin moved 1.1% on average on CPI days against 0.74% on other weekdays, about 1.6 times as much, and almost double since 2024. Over the whole day the difference almost disappears, 2.57% against 2.4%. The direction was a coin flip, 50 times up and 41 times down, and the first move kept going over the next 24 hours in only 44 of 91 cases. The options market expects little: Deribit’s DVOL is just under 38, not far above this year’s low of 33.6, open interest is close to the low of the whole correction, and funding has been lower this year than in any year since 2019.
New to trading? Join iqoption for free educational materials, a risk-free demo account, and a low minimum deposit($20). Start your journey in the financial markets now! Learn more >>
Bitcoin Insights Today
• The "Energy Ceasefire" Relief: BTC and broader risk assets received a boost following an unexpected announcement by U.S. President Donald Trump regarding an "energy ceasefire" between Russia and Ukraine. This helped pull oil prices off their recent highs, alleviating immediate fears of sticky, energy-driven inflation.
• Bond Market & Inflation Watch: Despite the minor reprieve, crypto gains face macro headwinds. Traders are highly cautious ahead of Wednesday's critical U.S. CPI (Consumer Price Index) inflation report, which will dictate whether the Federal Reserve can remain patient with interest rates. High bond yields continue to threaten sustained upward crypto momentum.
• ETF Outflows vs. Spot Resilience: Bitcoin recently rejected another attempt to securely breach the $84,000 resistance line. This consolidation comes amid negative fund flows, as spot U.S. Bitcoin ETFs just clocked their worst weekly outflows since June, driven by investors locking in profits from a strong Q3 performance.
Buy, sell, and store over 400 digital assets at one of Europe’s leading exchanges. Crypto trading and staking made simple! Learn more >>
We went through all 91 CPI releases since February 2019, hour by hour: in the two hours around the number, Bitcoin moved 1.1% on average on CPI days against 0.74% on other weekdays, about 1.6 times as much, and almost double since 2024. Over the whole day the difference almost disappears, 2.57% against 2.4%. The direction was a coin flip, 50 times up and 41 times down, and the first move kept going over the next 24 hours in only 44 of 91 cases. The options market expects little: Deribit’s DVOL is just under 38, not far above this year’s low of 33.6, open interest is close to the low of the whole correction, and funding has been lower this year than in any year since 2019.
New to trading? Join iqoption for free educational materials, a risk-free demo account, and a low minimum deposit($20). Start your journey in the financial markets now! Learn more >>
Bitcoin Insights Today
• The "Energy Ceasefire" Relief: BTC and broader risk assets received a boost following an unexpected announcement by U.S. President Donald Trump regarding an "energy ceasefire" between Russia and Ukraine. This helped pull oil prices off their recent highs, alleviating immediate fears of sticky, energy-driven inflation.
• Bond Market & Inflation Watch: Despite the minor reprieve, crypto gains face macro headwinds. Traders are highly cautious ahead of Wednesday's critical U.S. CPI (Consumer Price Index) inflation report, which will dictate whether the Federal Reserve can remain patient with interest rates. High bond yields continue to threaten sustained upward crypto momentum.
• ETF Outflows vs. Spot Resilience: Bitcoin recently rejected another attempt to securely breach the $84,000 resistance line. This consolidation comes amid negative fund flows, as spot U.S. Bitcoin ETFs just clocked their worst weekly outflows since June, driven by investors locking in profits from a strong Q3 performance.
Buy, sell, and store over 400 digital assets at one of Europe’s leading exchanges. Crypto trading and staking made simple! Learn more >>
BTC: Elliott Wave Analysis Price Prediction | Daily, 4hr & 15m | Bitcoin Forecast & Key Levels
In this video, we break down Bitcoin on the Daily, 4hr & 15m chart using Elliott Wave Theory. You’ll discover both bullish and bearish scenarios, plus the critical price levels and targets to watch. Video by Koenz Trading.
"Start online trading with iqoption. Access stocks, forex, and crypto on a world-class platform. Sign up for a free demo account and master your tools today!" Learn more >>
As of October 12, 2026, Bitcoin is trading at approximately $83,400 to $84,100. The cryptocurrency has experienced a mild recovery today, edging up roughly 0.6% to 0.9% over the past 24 hours following a choppy beginning to October that saw a 3% to 4% dip. Buy Bitcoin >>
Bitcoin Insights Today
• Corporate & Whale Accumulation vs. ETF Outflows: Institutional conviction remains highly polarized. Spot U.S. Bitcoin ETFs recorded significant pressure last week, seeing $681 million in net outflows. However, this selling has been countered by aggressive "whale buying"—with large holders accumulating roughly 15,000 BTC over the past 72 hours.
• The Saylor Effect: Michael Saylor's Strategy announced today that it purchased an additional 250 BTC for $21.5 million between October 5 and October 11 (at an average price of $86,194 per token). This boosts their total corporate treasury holdings to 848,250 BTC.
• Macro Headwinds: The broader crypto market continues to behave like a sensitive macroeconomic rates bet. Relentless strength in the AI trade, rising U.S. Treasury yields, and a robust U.S. dollar are keeping a tight lid on speculative assets. On the bullish side, today's drop in global oil prices—fueled by brief hopes of a Russia-Ukraine energy ceasefire—offered macro relief that helped trigger today's bounce.
Buy, sell, and store over 400 digital assets at one of Europe’s leading exchanges. Crypto trading and staking made simple! Learn more >>
"Start online trading with iqoption. Access stocks, forex, and crypto on a world-class platform. Sign up for a free demo account and master your tools today!" Learn more >>
As of October 12, 2026, Bitcoin is trading at approximately $83,400 to $84,100. The cryptocurrency has experienced a mild recovery today, edging up roughly 0.6% to 0.9% over the past 24 hours following a choppy beginning to October that saw a 3% to 4% dip. Buy Bitcoin >>
Bitcoin Insights Today
• Corporate & Whale Accumulation vs. ETF Outflows: Institutional conviction remains highly polarized. Spot U.S. Bitcoin ETFs recorded significant pressure last week, seeing $681 million in net outflows. However, this selling has been countered by aggressive "whale buying"—with large holders accumulating roughly 15,000 BTC over the past 72 hours.
• The Saylor Effect: Michael Saylor's Strategy announced today that it purchased an additional 250 BTC for $21.5 million between October 5 and October 11 (at an average price of $86,194 per token). This boosts their total corporate treasury holdings to 848,250 BTC.
• Macro Headwinds: The broader crypto market continues to behave like a sensitive macroeconomic rates bet. Relentless strength in the AI trade, rising U.S. Treasury yields, and a robust U.S. dollar are keeping a tight lid on speculative assets. On the bullish side, today's drop in global oil prices—fueled by brief hopes of a Russia-Ukraine energy ceasefire—offered macro relief that helped trigger today's bounce.
Buy, sell, and store over 400 digital assets at one of Europe’s leading exchanges. Crypto trading and staking made simple! Learn more >>
Solana: Can This Bounce Reach $133?
In this video: Solana - Can This Bounce Reach $133? Video By More Crypto Online.
"Start online trading with iqoption. Access stocks, forex, and crypto on a world-class platform. Sign up for a free demo account and master your tools today!" Learn more >>
Solana (SOL) is trading at approximately $111.07, up about 1.15% over the past 24 hours. The price is currently steadying around a key test zone after a sharp market pullback from last week's monthly high of $124.08. Buy Solana >>
Insights Today
• Samsung Partnership Integration: In a massive boost for mainstream adoption, Samsung has partnered with Solana. Starting the last week of October 2026, Samsung Wallet will support native USDC cross-border transfers on 82 million U.S. Galaxy devices.
• Network Speeds Halved: On October 9, Solana successfully rolled out its 200-millisecond target slot times upgrade. This technical milestone halves previous block latency, drastically increasing execution speeds specifically for heavy financial applications and PayFi networks.
• ETF Inflows Snapped: On the institutional side, U.S. spot Solana ETFs recorded $24.8 million in net outflows for the week ending October 10, breaking a consecutive 14-week inflow streak.
• On-Chain Address Surge: Despite the broad market decline, on-chain metrics show extreme growth. New daily wallet addresses on Solana skyrocketed by 124% since early September, establishing around 1.71 million new wallets daily.
Buy, sell, and store over 400 digital assets at one of Europe’s leading exchanges. Crypto trading and staking made simple! Learn more >>
"Start online trading with iqoption. Access stocks, forex, and crypto on a world-class platform. Sign up for a free demo account and master your tools today!" Learn more >>
Solana (SOL) is trading at approximately $111.07, up about 1.15% over the past 24 hours. The price is currently steadying around a key test zone after a sharp market pullback from last week's monthly high of $124.08. Buy Solana >>
Insights Today
• Samsung Partnership Integration: In a massive boost for mainstream adoption, Samsung has partnered with Solana. Starting the last week of October 2026, Samsung Wallet will support native USDC cross-border transfers on 82 million U.S. Galaxy devices.
• Network Speeds Halved: On October 9, Solana successfully rolled out its 200-millisecond target slot times upgrade. This technical milestone halves previous block latency, drastically increasing execution speeds specifically for heavy financial applications and PayFi networks.
• ETF Inflows Snapped: On the institutional side, U.S. spot Solana ETFs recorded $24.8 million in net outflows for the week ending October 10, breaking a consecutive 14-week inflow streak.
• On-Chain Address Surge: Despite the broad market decline, on-chain metrics show extreme growth. New daily wallet addresses on Solana skyrocketed by 124% since early September, establishing around 1.71 million new wallets daily.
Buy, sell, and store over 400 digital assets at one of Europe’s leading exchanges. Crypto trading and staking made simple! Learn more >>
Sunday, 11 October 2026
Who’s Trapped in Bitcoin Right Now?
We analyse Bitcoin on 11 October 2026 with positioning data from Binance, OKX and our MCO Terminal and using Elliott Wave, where Thursday's low at about $80,300 and the highs around $87,000 are the levels where the pressure builds. On Thursday, Bitcoin dropped to about $80,300 and small traders piled into longs: by the early hours of Friday, 65% of all accounts on Binance were long, the most since the middle of August, while the biggest traders (the top 20% of accounts by margin balance) kept taking risk off. Open interest kept falling and funding sits near zero, so this is no euphoria. Video by More Crypto Online.
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Since 2021 there were 55 similar setups, and two weeks later Bitcoin was higher in 29 and lower in 26, basically a coin flip. So nobody is really trapped yet, but the data shows where it hurts: below Thursday's low for the new longs, above the highs around $87,000 for the shorts, with liquidation blocks around $75,000 and $90,000. Wednesday's US inflation data could be the trigger: below Thursday's low the new longs are trapped, above $87,250 the shorts are.
New to trading? Join iqoption for free educational materials, a risk-free demo account, and a low minimum deposit($20). Start your journey in the financial markets now! Learn more >>
Bitcoin Insights Today
• The "October 10" Anniversary Effect: The market is noting the one-year anniversary of the historic $19 billion crypto liquidation event (triggered on October 10, 2025, following aggressive tariff announcements). The current recovery back above $83k demonstrates stronger, unleveraged underlying spot demand compared to last year's leverage-heavy market.
• Whale Accumulation vs. ETF Outflows: Crypto on-chain data shows rising whale demand and major spot order fills helping keep the price stable. This whale accumulation has successfully absorbed recent short-term outflows from U.S. Spot Bitcoin ETFs. Total U.S. spot Bitcoin ETF assets under management still command a massive $105.8 billion.
• Macro Environment Drag: Immediate upward momentum faces headwinds from traditional macro factors, including surging U.S. Treasury yields, general dollar strength, and heightened oil prices driven by global geopolitical tensions.
• Bullish Institutional Projections: Wall Street retains a strong mid-term outlook. Notably, Citigroup raised its 12-month Bitcoin target to $113,000, citing resilient institutional on-ramping and expectations of smoother corporate portfolio allocations over the coming months.
Buy, sell, and store over 400 digital assets at one of Europe’s leading exchanges. Crypto trading and staking made simple! Learn more >>
Since 2021 there were 55 similar setups, and two weeks later Bitcoin was higher in 29 and lower in 26, basically a coin flip. So nobody is really trapped yet, but the data shows where it hurts: below Thursday's low for the new longs, above the highs around $87,000 for the shorts, with liquidation blocks around $75,000 and $90,000. Wednesday's US inflation data could be the trigger: below Thursday's low the new longs are trapped, above $87,250 the shorts are.
New to trading? Join iqoption for free educational materials, a risk-free demo account, and a low minimum deposit($20). Start your journey in the financial markets now! Learn more >>
Bitcoin Insights Today
• The "October 10" Anniversary Effect: The market is noting the one-year anniversary of the historic $19 billion crypto liquidation event (triggered on October 10, 2025, following aggressive tariff announcements). The current recovery back above $83k demonstrates stronger, unleveraged underlying spot demand compared to last year's leverage-heavy market.
• Whale Accumulation vs. ETF Outflows: Crypto on-chain data shows rising whale demand and major spot order fills helping keep the price stable. This whale accumulation has successfully absorbed recent short-term outflows from U.S. Spot Bitcoin ETFs. Total U.S. spot Bitcoin ETF assets under management still command a massive $105.8 billion.
• Macro Environment Drag: Immediate upward momentum faces headwinds from traditional macro factors, including surging U.S. Treasury yields, general dollar strength, and heightened oil prices driven by global geopolitical tensions.
• Bullish Institutional Projections: Wall Street retains a strong mid-term outlook. Notably, Citigroup raised its 12-month Bitcoin target to $113,000, citing resilient institutional on-ramping and expectations of smoother corporate portfolio allocations over the coming months.
Buy, sell, and store over 400 digital assets at one of Europe’s leading exchanges. Crypto trading and staking made simple! Learn more >>
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