Thursday 13 January 2022

Bitcoin On-Chain Analysis: HODL Waves

Reading from the bottom of the chart up, the red colored bands show the percent of supply that has been active relatively recently, ranging from less than a day to 90-180 days. The “1-7 Days” band is the percent of total supply that's been held for at least 1 day but less than 7 days, “7-30 Days” is the percent of supply that's been held for at least 7 days but less than 30 days, and so on. Conversely, reading from the top of the chart down shows the supply that has not moved for relatively long periods. These long-term bands tend to grow wider as prices reach cycle lows and contract during cycle tops as long-terms holders begin to sell. Crypto TA Video by Benjamin Cowen.

Usage During the 2013 and 2017 bull runs, the percent of short-term held supply (held for 180 days or less) reached about 50% which coincided with market tops. Periods where long-term held supply has reached over 60% have typically been good times to buy.



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