In this video: Bitcoin Bear Market Resistance Band - In January, we outlined a late-cycle restrictive regime and leaned cautious on risk. Since then, BTC has declined materially and leadership has narrowed. The February Macro Risk Memo expands the framework beyond crypto into broader macro. Video by Benjamin Cowen.
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As of February 16, 2026, Bitcoin (BTC) is trading near $68,400, reflecting a 2.2% decline over the last 24 hours. The market is currently characterized by a range-bound struggle as it attempts to find stable footing after a volatile start to the month, which saw prices briefly plunge toward $60,000 before rebounding.
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Bitcoin Insights
-Inflation Impact: A cooler-than-expected U.S. Consumer Price Index (CPI) report (2.4% vs. 2.5% forecast) recently provided a temporary boost to risk assets, helping BTC reclaim the $70,000 level briefly over the weekend.
-Leverage Flush: On February 16, a major wave of $736 million in short liquidations helped fuel a rebound, clearing out overcrowded speculative bets.
-Historic Move: Two rare Casascius Coins containing 1,000 BTC each were moved after 13 years of dormancy, a collectible event worth over $120 million.
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