Social sentiment has always been a key piece of the crypto cycle, but measuring it properly is the hard part.
In this video, we introduce an improved Social Risk Metric for Bitcoin, designed to better capture the rise and fall of retail participation across cycles. Rather than relying on a single data source, this updated framework combines multiple signals to provide a more complete view of speculative behavior. Video by Benjamin Cowen.
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As of March 31, 2026, Bitcoin is trading around $66,702 - $67,535, showing resilience despite a period of macro uncertainty and geopolitical tensions.
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Insights Today
-FTX Payouts: The FTX Recovery Trust is scheduled to distribute $2.2 billion to creditors today, though payments are in USD based on 2022 prices.
-Quantum Research: New research from Google suggests Bitcoin’s Taproot upgrade could make it more vulnerable to future quantum attacks than previously thought.
-Supply Movement: Bhutan's government moved 1,000 BTC (approx. $25M) to exchanges this week.
-Geopolitical Impact: Traders are closely monitoring the U.S.-Iran conflict; reports of potential peace talks led to a brief 2.6% spike in Asia trading.
-Macro Headwinds: Rising U.S. real interest rates and energy price surges (Brent oil above $116) are pressuring zero-yielding assets like Bitcoin.
-Institutional Activity: Spot ETFs saw a modest inflow of $69.44 million on Monday, breaking a recent streak of outflows.
-Fear & Greed Index: The index has dropped to 25 (Fear), reflecting cautious sentiment amid market volatility.
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