In this video: Bitcoin may not be breaking down all at once, but the structure is starting to weaken. We discuss why a window of weakness could now be opening for Bitcoin and the broader crypto market. Rather than focusing on short-term price moves, we step back and evaluate the bigger picture through a macro lens, including liquidity conditions, the labor market, and where we are in the business cycle. Video by Benjamin Cowen.
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As of March 28, 2026, Bitcoin (BTC) is trading at approximately $66,465, showing signs of stabilization after a period of intense volatility. The market has been under significant pressure from massive options expiries and escalating geopolitical tensions, particularly involving the U.S. and Iran.
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-Geopolitical Impact: Ongoing conflict in the Middle East has dampened global risk sentiment, leading to a "flight to quality" and putting pressure on digital assets.
-Options Expiry: A massive $14 billion options expiry on Friday added considerable short-term volatility and downward pressure.
-Macro Outlook: Investors are scaling back expectations for interest rate cuts as surging oil prices create new inflationary concerns.
-ETF Fee War: Morgan Stanley has filed to launch a spot Bitcoin ETF with an industry-low 0.14% management fee, likely sparking a new price war among institutional providers.
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