Saturday, 30 May 2026

Bitcoin: Asymmetric Tail Curvature in Bitcoin Price Quantiles

In this video we talk about a new Bitcoin price model: "Asymmetric Bitcoin Price Quantiles". Video by Benjamin Cowen.

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Bitcoin (BTC) is trading at approximately $73,520 (€63,147) as of May 30, 2026, holding steady within a tight consolidation range after experiencing minor weekly declines. Visit Trading Platform >>



Insights Today

-ETF Capital Outflows: Spot Bitcoin ETF demand has cooled significantly, weighing heavily on immediate price action. This week witnessed a major net spot ETF outflow, headlined by a single-day bleed of -$223 million to -$228 million from funds like BlackRock's IBIT, Fidelity's FBTC, and Grayscale's GBTC.

-The "Buyer Drought": On-chain analytics firm Glassnode reported a definitive softening in spot demand. While long-term holders continue to lock away tokens, a current lack of aggressive new buyers has capped attempts to reclaim higher valuation tiers.

-Options Settlement Pressures: A massive $6.2 billion in BTC options contracts expired on Deribit. The asset settled slightly underneath its "Max Pain" magnet level of $75,000, keeping short-term volatility muted but biased toward the downside.

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