Retail investors are cheering the slight pullback in Crude Oil and the resulting S&P 500 relief bounce, but the "Smart Money" is watching the trap door open. Video by Gareth Soloway.
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The S&P 500 and Oil are currently trading in a perfect inverse algorithm—when oil ticks down, the market rallies. But while the headlines focus entirely on energy prices, Gareth reveals the massive "Black Swan" hemorrhaging in the background: the private credit market. This is a perfect, terrifying parallel to the summer of 2008, where an oil surge distracted the masses right before the credit markets collapsed.
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And what about the Nvidia (NVDA) catalyst? Jensen Huang just took the stage to project a staggering $1 Trillion in revenue for NVDA by 2027. Retail investors immediately FOMO'd in, but the stock aggressively sold off. Gareth explains why this was a classic institutional "Sell the News" event and a textbook Distribution Phase, as Wall Street algorithms had already priced in the numbers with zero upgrades to guidance.
Meanwhile, the Bitcoin breakout is playing out perfectly. After blasting through the $74,000 resistance to tag $76,000, Bitcoin is now setting up for the ultimate technical test. Gareth explains the critical concept of the "Retrace to the Scene of the Crime" and why $74,000 must now act as the ultimate support floor to confirm the next leg up to $85k.
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