In this video I break down my Bitcoin market outlook for Q3 and provide a rolling forecast through the end of the year. I review the performance of my previous quarterly forecasts and apply Elliott Wave and time cycle analysis to determine where the bearish trend is heading next. Video by More Crypto Online.
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Bitcoin (BTC) is trading near $58,500 to $59,100, capping off its worst monthly performance since June 2022 with an approximate 20% loss over the past 30 days. The digital asset is facing severe downward pressure as institutional investors retreat, pushing the broader crypto complex into a phase of macro uncertainty and "Extreme Fear".
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Bitcoin Insights Today
-ETF Exodus: US-listed spot Bitcoin ETFs recorded a staggering $4.06 billion in net outflows during June 2026, significantly drying up institutional demand.
-MicroStrategy Policy Shift: The company introduced a "Digital Credit Capital Framework," authorizing up to $1.25 billion in BTC sales to fund corporate obligations. This massive supply overhang has shaken the market, diverging from its historic "never sell" ethos.
-Macro Headwinds: Divergent global monetary policies have pushed the U.S. Dollar Index (DXY) higher. Concurrently, the Japanese Yen plummeted to a 40-year low, sparking fears of a disorderly carry-trade unwind that threatens global risk assets.
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