In this video we talk about the #Bitcoin Bull Market Support Band. Video by Benjamin Cowen.
Buy, sell, and store over 400 digital assets at one of Europe’s leading exchanges. Crypto trading made simple!
Learn more >>
The Bitcoin Bull Market Support Band (BMSB) is currently calculated based on the 20-week Simple Moving Average (SMA) and the 21-week Exponential Moving Average (EMA). As of January 19, 2026, Bitcoin is trading at approximately $92,735, following a volatile period where it tested critical support near $90,000.
Buy Bitcoin >>
How the Band Functions
The BMSB serves as a dynamic trend indicator to distinguish between bull and bear cycles:
--Bullish Phase: When the price remains above the band, it act as a "support floor" during corrections.
--Bearish Phase: If the price falls below the band, the zone flips to become dynamic resistance, often signaling a longer-term trend reversal.
--Neutral Phase: Price action within the 20-week SMA and 21-week EMA indicates a transitional or consolidation period.
Historically, Bitcoin often retests this band in September during post-halving years. Reclaiming the band after a breakdown typically requires 3 to 6 months of consolidation.
Current BMSB and Technical Context
While historical 2021 data placed the band between $51,000 and $53,000, current 2026 technical analysis highlights the following key levels:
--Primary Support Zone: Analysts identify the $90,000 – $91,400 range as the most critical local support for maintaining bullish momentum.
--Bullish Threshold: Holding above $97,190 is considered essential by some analysts to sustain the broader bull market and target the $110,000 level.
--Long-term Outlook: Forecasts for 2026 vary, with most clustering between $120,000 and $170,000, though some "bear year" predictions suggest potential drawdowns to $65,000 – $75,000 if structural support fails.
Buy Bitcoin >>
