Gareth Soloway breaks down a deep-dive Bitcoin cycle analysis, covering both the near-term setup and the bigger-picture cycle structure that points to where the real bottom may land.
Gareth starts with the short-term chart, walking through the tightening range Bitcoin is trading inside. He identifies the ascending trend line near 63,000 as the level that flips the near-term probabilities, and the breakout trigger above 67,000 that would open the path toward his 71,000 to 72,000 near-term target. Along the way, Gareth explains why real traders think in probabilities, not certainties, and how key levels tell you when a setup is validating or failing. Video by Gareth Soloway.
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Time stamps
0:00 Intro
0:42 Top Squad + Weekly Discount
1:48 Bitcoin Short-Term Chart
2:52 Near-Term Timeframes Explained
3:11 The 63K Trend Line That Invalidates The Setup
4:14 The 67K Breakout Trigger
5:56 Why Traders Think In Probabilities
6:36 Zooming Out: The Cycle Chart
6:44 Calling The October 2025 Top
7:19 Different Cycle Tops, Same Bear Distance
8:36 The 53-Bar Cycle Symmetry
9:49 Where Are We Now In The Cycle
10:33 Head And Shoulders Target: 35K By October
11:50 Where Gareth Starts Nibbling
12:22 Rumble Wallet + Sign Off
Gareth also shares how he is positioning, why he is diversified across gold, silver, and Bitcoin, and where he would start nibbling on Bitcoin again.
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