The next Great Depression could be setting up for 2030, and the recession cycle chart shows exactly why. In this video, Gareth Soloway, Chief Market Strategist at VerifiedInvesting.com, breaks down how every major change to the monetary system has stretched the gap between recessions and made each drawdown deeper.
On the gold standard, recessions hit every four to five years, methodical and shallow. Once the US left the gold standard, expansions ran longer and the pops got bigger. Then the 1978 Federal Reserve dual mandate pushed recessions out to roughly every ten years, and the drawdowns turned violent. The dot-com collapse, the 2008 financial crisis, and the COVID crash all line up on that ten-year spacing. Video by Gareth Soloway.
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Time stamps
0:00 The 2030 Great Depression Fear
0:57 Recessions on the Gold Standard
2:42 Leaving Gold: Deeper Drawdowns
3:19 The 1978 Fed Dual Mandate Changes Everything
4:22 The Ten-Year Recession Spacing
6:01 Why 2030 Aligns With the 100-Year Cycle
7:04 The S&P Expansionary Period on the Charts
9:00 Measuring Cycle to Cycle: 2030-2031
10:02 Why the Dual Mandate Keeps Inflation High
11:34 The Logarithmic Chart and Lost Decades
13:44 The Dow: Could It Hit 100,000 First?
14:43 Preparing With Physical Gold
This is about preparedness, not fear mongering. Twenty and thirty percent drawdowns are coming along the way regardless. The question is whether the market can stay alive until the ultimate collapse.
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