Is the Bitcoin bear market over? By the data, the low is probably behind us. But it is too early to confirm a new bull market, and after every past bear market low, Bitcoin dropped at least once more by about 20% before new highs. Video by More Crypto Online.
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We checked every Bitcoin bear market of the last 12 years: how long they lasted, how deep they went, and the one signal that came four times before and was followed by higher prices a year later every time. Then the charts, and our answer for anyone with no Bitcoin at all.
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Bitcoin Insights Today
• Massive ETF Inflows Rebound: Reversing a stretch of cautious trading, U.S. spot Bitcoin ETFs registered a substantial net inflow of $526.7 million. BlackRock's IBIT single-handedly anchored the momentum with a staggering $665.2 million in daily inflows, easily offsetting minor outflows from Fidelity's FBTC.
• Strive Corporate Treasury Aggression: Strive, Inc. (co-founded by Vivek Ramaswamy) officially finalized an upsized preferred stock offering to generate $630 million explicitly aimed at scaling up its corporate Bitcoin treasury. Strive has bought 4,045 BTC over the last week alone, pushing its total reserves past 36,800 BTC and placing it 4th globally among public corporate holders.
• Macro Headwinds Keep Lid on Rally: Despite massive institutional spot accumulation, broader market pressures are capping a breakout. Surging international Brent crude oil prices (~$109/barrel) paired with climbing U.S. Treasury yields have amplified sticky inflation fears, limiting immediate risk appetite.
• Historical Tight Bollinger Band Squeeze: Technical data highlights that Bitcoin’s price swings have compressed into one of their narrowest corridors in 2.5 years. This extreme "coiling" phase typically indicates that an explosive macro breakout or breakdown is building behind the scenes.
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